An epidemic model for cholera with optimal control treatment

نویسندگان

  • Ana P. Lemos-Paião
  • Cristiana J. Silva
  • Delfim F. M. Torres
چکیده

We propose a mathematical model for cholera with treatment through quarantine. The model is shown to be both epidemiologically and mathematically well posed. In particular, we prove that all solutions of the model are positive and bounded; and that every solution with initial conditions in a certain meaningful set remains in that set for all time. The existence of unique disease-free and endemic equilibrium points is proved and the basic reproduction number is computed. Then, we study the local asymptotic stability of these equilibrium points. An optimal control problem is proposed and analyzed, whose goal is to obtain a successful treatment through quarantine. We provide the optimal quarantine strategy for the minimization of the number of infectious individuals and bacteria concentration, as well as the costs associated with the quarantine. Finally, a numerical simulation of the cholera outbreak in the Department of Artibonite (Haiti), in 2010, is carried out, illustrating the usefulness of the model and its analysis.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The health system response to Eltor cholera outbreak: an experience in Iran

Background: Following the outbreak of eltor cholera in Iraq’s Kurdistan, Iran was threatened through the western border. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to evaluate the health system response of Marivan city in Kurdistan Province (Iran) as a risky gateway for the outbreak of eltor cholera epidemic in Iran. Materials and Methods: This cross-sectional study was implemented in...

متن کامل

Modeling Cholera Dynamics with Controls

In this paper, we present and analyze a cholera epidemiological model with control measures incorporated. This model is extended from the one proposed in [16] by including the effects of vaccination, therapeutic treatment, and water sanitation. Equilibrium analysis is conducted in the case with constant controls for both epidemic and endemic dynamics. Optimal control theory is applied to seek c...

متن کامل

Mathematical Model for Transmission Dynamics of Hepatitus C Virus with Optimal Control Strategies

An epidemic model with optimal control strategies was investigated for Hepatitus C Viral disease that can be transmitted through infected individuals. In this study, we used a deterministic compartmental model for assessing the effect of different optimal control strategies for controlling the spread of Hepatitus C disease in the community. Stability theory of differential equations is us...

متن کامل

An Optimal Cost Effectiveness Study on Zimbabwe Cholera Seasonal Data from 2008–2011

Incidence of cholera outbreak is a serious issue in underdeveloped and developing countries. In Zimbabwe, after the massive outbreak in 2008-09, cholera cases and deaths are reported every year from some provinces. Substantial number of reported cholera cases in some provinces during and after the epidemic in 2008-09 indicates a plausible presence of seasonality in cholera incidence in those re...

متن کامل

A Survey of a Cholera Epidemic in Aran va Bidgol City in Summer 2011

Abstract Background and purpose:Cholera is an endemic disease in Iran and in some cases each year from around the country report. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prevalence of the disease cholera among people suffering from acute diarrhea in the AranvaBidgol. Materials and Methods:In this study, patients with acute diarrhea were examined for cholera detection in the city of AranvaBidg...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • J. Computational Applied Mathematics

دوره 318  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2017